S&P 500 Forecast

An educational project that forecasts returns for the S&P 500 and its companies, and shows which factors drive each forecast.

What it will show

• Historical chartsThe index and every current constituent, with zoom and date ranges.
• Forecasts with uncertainty1 day to 1 month ahead, with an 80% range and the probability of an up move.
• News and sentimentRanked headlines linking to the original sources, plus news and social sentiment over time.
• What drives each forecastThe most influential factors, explained in plain English.
• Honest track recordBacktest results against a simple baseline, even when the model barely beats it.